538 Presidential Forecast 2024. Decision desk hq and the hill’s ultimate hub for polls,. 14, 2024 an earlier version of a table in this article mislabeled the margin of victory for the 2020 presidential election in new hampshire.
As at the republican convention a month earlier, the democrats will formally nominate their presidential candidate in chicago. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.